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© 2010 Created by Roger Carter.
welcome
© 2010 Created by Roger Carter.
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I am a proponent of the big picture economic analysis and apply it to forex markets.
Here is that analysis:
For as far as the eye can see we will have a low interest rate environment for most of the global financial centers.
That means mortgage rates will remain below historical norms, housing will rebound, savings from housing value appreciation will increase.
Central Banks will establish rates below historical averages because inflation will remain contained.
Productivity will return to above historical averages.
Unemployment is by its nature a lagging indicator and will slowly return to below historical norms as well.
The USD is not going to be replaced as the world's reserve currency by the BRIC world.
In sum, the USD will be rising in a low interest rate environment, something many analysts today do not believe.
That is a market for buyers of USD.
My trade was buy USDJPY from 88.00 on October 9.
Hope to chat here,
Keith Long